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NSW pasiek\u0117 \u012fsp\u016bding\u0105 etap\u0105 tautai pereinant prie tvaraus transporto \u2013 dabar NSW keliuose u\u017eregistruota 100 000 piln\u0173 akumuliatori\u0173 elektrini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173.<\/span><\/p>\nKetvirtadien\u012f, 2025 m. spalio 16 d., NSW keli\u0173 ir j\u016br\u0173 tarnyba (RMS) pa\u017eym\u0117jo \u0161\u012f etap\u0105.<\/span><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/thedriven.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Fig1.jpg\")
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1 pav. NSW keli\u0173 ir j\u016br\u0173 tarnybos (RMS) prietais\u0173 skydelyje u\u017efiksuota 100 000 BEV 2025 m. spalio 16 d.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n100 000 BEV orientyras apima visas keliuose registruot\u0173 motorini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 klases \u2013 keleivines transporto priemones, motociklus, furgonus, autobusus ir sunkve\u017eimius.<\/span><\/p>\nAtrodo, kad \u0161is etapas yra reik\u0161mingas l\u016b\u017eio ta\u0161kas, nes NSW taip pat buvo pasiekta keletas kit\u0173 svarbi\u0173 etap\u0173:<\/span><\/p>\n\n- Vien tik i\u0161kastin\u012f kur\u0105 naudojan\u010di\u0173 keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 skai\u010dius pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105 daugiau nei prie\u0161 metus;<\/span><\/li>\n
- BEV dabar yra daugiau nei <\/span>1,5 %<\/b> viso transporto priemoni\u0173 parko; ir<\/span><\/li>\n
- BEV keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 dabar yra daugiau nei <\/span>2 %<\/b> viso keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 parko.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Kelias \u012f 100 000 BEV<\/b><\/p>\n
NSW yra vienintel\u0117 Australijos valstija, kasdien teikianti transporto priemoni\u0173 registracijos statistik\u0105 apie \u012fsp\u016bding\u0105 \u201ePower BI\u201c. <\/span>registracijos momentinio vaizdo prietais\u0173 skydelis<\/span>. B\u016bt\u0173 geriau, jei b\u016bt\u0173 galima atlikti visos \u0161alies analiz\u0119, ta\u010diau kitos valstyb\u0117s nepateikia transporto priemoni\u0173 registracijos duomen\u0173 beveik tokio pat detalumo ar savalaiki\u0161kumo kaip NSW arba vie\u0161ai prieinama forma (1).<\/span><\/p>\n100 000 \u012fvykis yra reik\u0161mingas, atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f tai, kad per pastar\u0105j\u012f de\u0161imtmet\u012f skeptikai ty\u010diojosi i\u0161 EV. Kai kurie komentatoriai pa\u0161iepia, kad yra <\/span>\u201etik 0,01 % rinkos\u201c<\/span> prie\u0161 de\u0161imt met\u0173, akumuliatoriniai elektromobiliai <\/span>rugs\u0117j\u012f pasiek\u0117 nauj\u0105 rekord\u0105 \u2013 11% vis\u0173 nauj\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 pardavim\u0173<\/span> \u2013 1000 kart\u0173 padid\u0117jimas.<\/span><\/p>\n1 lentel\u0117je parodyti \u0161ie NSW etapai per metus. Kiekvienam 10 kart\u0173 padid\u0117jimui pasiekti prireik\u0117 ma\u017edaug 5 met\u0173. Ta\u010diau paskutinis de\u0161imt kart\u0173 padid\u0117jimas buvo spar\u010diausias, u\u017etruk\u0119s \u0161iek tiek daugiau nei 4 metus.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n| Registruot\u0173 BEV skai\u010dius NSW<\/b><\/td>\n | M\u0117nuo<\/b><\/td>\n | Laiko tarpas<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n| 100<\/span><\/td>\n | 2011 m. lapkritis<\/span><\/td>\n\n<\/tr>\n\n| 1000<\/span><\/td>\n | 2016 m. liepos m\u0117n<\/span><\/td>\n | 4 metai 8 m\u0117nesiai<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n| 10 000<\/span><\/td>\n | 2021 m. rugs\u0117jo m\u0117n<\/span><\/td>\n | 5 metai 2 m\u0117nesiai<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n\n| 100 000<\/span><\/td>\n | 2025 m. spalio m\u0117n<\/span><\/td>\n | 4 metai 1 m\u0117nuo<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n 1 lentel\u0117 \u2013 NSW BEV registracijos etapai<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n2 paveiksle parodytas BEV registracij\u0173 augimas NSW nuo 2010 m. \u0160ioje diagramoje taip pat parodytas ne\u012ftik\u0117tinas Tesla va\u017eiavimas \u0161ioje transporto priemoni\u0173 kategorijoje. 2017 m. kov\u0105 \u201eTesla\u201c pirm\u0105 kart\u0105 pasiek\u0117 50 % vis\u0173 NSW keliuose naudojam\u0173 BEV, o 2022 m. rugs\u0117j\u012f \u2013 63,6 %.<\/span><\/p>\nTa\u010diau 2025 m. gegu\u017e\u0117s 7 d. \u201eTesla\u201c 8 metus ir 2 m\u0117nesius truk\u0119s dominavimas BEV rinkoje NSW nutr\u016bko, kai jos automobili\u0173 parko rinkos dalis nukrito \u017eemiau 50 % ir beveik neabejotina, kad daugiau niekada ten nebegr\u012f\u0161 d\u0117l did\u0117jan\u010dios \u017eenklinimo konkurencijos.<\/span><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/b2232832.smushcdn.com\/2232832\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Fig2.png?lossy=1&strip=0&webp=1\") ![\"\"](\"https:\/\/thedriven.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Fig2.png\") <\/p>\n
2 pav. \u2013 BEV ir Tesla transporto priemoni\u0173 registracij\u0173 augimas NSW.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nAr BEV \u201etechnologij\u0173 pritaikymo atotr\u016bkis\u201c bus per\u017eengtas?<\/b><\/p>\n Nepaisant to, kad kai kurios populiarios spaudos teigia kitaip, 2 paveiksle parodyta, kad BEV pardavimai ir toliau auga. Ta\u010diau tiesa yra tai, kad anks\u010diau buv\u0119s eksponentinis augimo tempas per pastaruosius 2 metus suma\u017e\u0117jo \u2013 to visi\u0161kai tikimasi.<\/span><\/p>\nTaip gali b\u016bti d\u0117l vadinamojo \u201etechnologij\u0173 pritaikymo sprag\u0173\u201c (kai kurie netgi sako, kad \u201eprara\u0161a\u201c), kai \u201enovatoriai\u201c ir \u201eankstyvieji naudotojai\u201c jau per\u0117jo prie nauj\u0173 technologij\u0173 (\u0161iuo atveju BEV), ta\u010diau \u201eankstyvoji dauguma\u201c dar turi padaryti \u0161uol\u012f.<\/span><\/p>\nTa\u010diau kadangi BEV pardavimas pasiek\u0117 nauj\u0105 rekord\u0105 \u2013 11,3 % vis\u0173 parduot\u0173 nauj\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 rugs\u0117j\u012f, \u0161i \u201epri\u0117mimo spraga\u201c netrukus gali b\u016bti per\u017eengta.<\/span><\/p>\nNors nauj\u0173 BEV skai\u010dius kelyje yra puiki \u017einia, svarbiau yra tai, koki\u0105 transporto priemoni\u0173 parko dal\u012f tai sudaro. NSW pasiek\u0117 dar du svarbius etapus:<\/span><\/p>\n\n- BEV dabar yra daugiau nei <\/span>1,5 %<\/b> viso transporto priemoni\u0173 parko, pasiek\u0119s \u0161\u012f etap\u0105 2025 m. rugpj\u016b\u010dio 30 d.; ir<\/span><\/li>\n
- BEV keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 dabar yra daugiau nei <\/span>2 %<\/b> viso keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 parko (pagal ADR kategorijos 1 lygio klasifikacij\u0105), pasiek\u0119s \u0161\u012f etap\u0105 2025 m. rugs\u0117jo 22 d.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Tai rei\u0161kia, kad \u0161iandien NSW daugiau nei 1 i\u0161 50 keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 yra elektrin\u0117s. Jei manote, kad kelyje matote daugiau elektromobili\u0173, esate teisus.<\/span><\/p>\nVis d\u0117lto reikia nueiti ilg\u0105 keli\u0105, kol BEV sudarys did\u017ei\u0105j\u0105 dal\u012f vis\u0173 parduodam\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173, jau nekalbant apie did\u017ei\u0105j\u0105 dal\u012f vis\u0173 kelyje esan\u010di\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173.<\/span><\/p>\nPastar\u0105j\u012f de\u0161imtmet\u012f Norvegijoje buvo laikomasi labiausiai pasaulyje elektromobili\u0173 palankios politikos, o did\u017eioji dalis vis\u0173 parduodam\u0173 nauj\u0173 automobili\u0173 per pastaruosius 5 metus buvo elektra varomi. Ta\u010diau vis tiek prireik\u0117 daugiau nei 10 met\u0173, kad BEV sudaryt\u0173 daugiau nei ketvirtadal\u012f vis\u0173 Norvegijos keliuose naudojam\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173. Proporcija buvo <\/span>28,9 % 2025 m. vasario m\u0117n<\/span>su <\/span>viena ataskaita<\/span> kad jau pasiektas 30 % etapas.<\/span><\/p>\nAr ICE am\u017eiaus pabaigos prad\u017eia?<\/b><\/p>\n Didelis BEV pardavimo lygis yra puiku, ta\u010diau jei bendras transporto priemoni\u0173 su vidaus degimo varikliais (ICE) skai\u010dius vis dar did\u0117ja, tada transporto priemoni\u0173 i\u0161metam\u0173j\u0173 ter\u0161al\u0173 kiekis vis dar did\u0117ja.<\/span><\/p>\n\u010cia taip pat yra ger\u0173 naujien\u0173:<\/span><\/p>\n\n- Vien tik i\u0161kastin\u012f kur\u0105 naudojan\u010di\u0173 keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 skai\u010dius NSW pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105 daugiau nei prie\u0161 metus (2024 m. vasario m\u0117n.) \u2013 4 416 279; ir<\/span><\/li>\n
- Atrodo, kad gryno i\u0161kastinio kuro ir hibridini\u0173 keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 (ty visko, kas n\u0117ra \u012fkraunama) skai\u010dius pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105 2025 m. rugpj\u016b\u010dio 29 d. \u2013 4 603 138; ir<\/span><\/li>\n
- Bendras keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 skai\u010dius <\/span>n\u0117ra <\/span><\/i>Pana\u0161u, kad 2025 m. rugpj\u016b\u010dio 29 d. elektrinis akumuliatorius taip pat pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 lyg\u012f \u2013 4 615 271.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Nors gryno i\u0161kastinio kuro keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 registracija neabejotinai pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105 NSW, reikia dar keli\u0173 m\u0117nesi\u0173 duomen\u0173, kad b\u016bt\u0173 galima kategori\u0161kai teigti, kad ne papildini\u0173 ir ne BEV keleivini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 registracija taip pat pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105. Ta\u010diau beveik nekyla abejoni\u0173, kad jie nusileido. 3 paveiksle pavaizduoti \u0161ie ankstesni\u0173 2 met\u0173 duomenys su punktyrin\u0117mis linijomis, rodan\u010diomis tendencij\u0105.<\/span><\/p>\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/b2232832.smushcdn.com\/2232832\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Fig3.png?lossy=1&strip=0&webp=1\") ![\"\"](\"https:\/\/thedriven.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Fig3.png\") <\/p>\n<\/p>\n
3 paveikslas \u2013 ICE am\u017eiaus pabaigos prad\u017eia NSW?<\/span><\/i><\/p>\nI\u0161pl\u0117tus tinkl\u0105 \u012f vis\u0105 NSW transporto priemoni\u0173 park\u0105 (ty ne tik keleivines transporto priemones, bet ir visas variklini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 kategorijas), matyti, kad vien i\u0161kastiniu kuru varom\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 skai\u010dius pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105 \u2013 6 017 961 2024 m. rugpj\u016b\u010dio m\u0117n., o \u0161i\u0173 met\u0173 bir\u017eel\u012f nukrito \u017eemiau 6 mln.<\/span><\/p>\nAtrodo, kad grie\u017e\u010diausias rodiklis i\u0161 vis\u0173 \u2013 bendras ne BEV skai\u010dius \u2013 per pastar\u0105j\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f NSW suma\u017e\u0117jo iki 6,3 mln. transporto priemoni\u0173, ta\u010diau jis dar nema\u017e\u0117ja. Tik\u0117tina, kad taip yra d\u0117l to, kad sunkesn\u0117se transporto priemoni\u0173 klas\u0117se dar n\u0117ra \u012ftikinam\u0173 elektrini\u0173 akumuliatori\u0173 alternatyv\u0173.<\/span><\/p>\nPrireiks \u0161iek tiek daugiau laiko, kol bus galima galutinai teigti, kad tai yra ICE am\u017eiaus pabaigos prad\u017eia NSW, ta\u010diau u\u017era\u0161as yra ant sienos.<\/span><\/p>\nVietos NSW vietov\u0117 pirmauja<\/b><\/p>\n Straipsnis, kur\u012f para\u0161iau \u201eThe Driven\u201c pra\u0117jusi\u0173 met\u0173 liep\u0105 <\/span>\u201eKuriose srityse i\u0161 tikr\u0173j\u0173 yra did\u017eiausias elektromobili\u0173 skverbtis?<\/span> naudojo RMS transporto priemoni\u0173 registracijos prietais\u0173 skydelio duomenis, kad pa\u017evelgt\u0173 \u012f BEV pritaikymo skirtumus NSW pagal vietos vald\u017eios srit\u012f (LGA).<\/span><\/p>\nTurb\u016bt nenuostabu, kad did\u017eiausias \u012fvaikinimo lygis prie\u0161 metus buvo Sidn\u0117jaus didmiestyje, o penki did\u017eiausi LGA buvo Ku-ring-gai (3,63 %), Mosman (3,54 %), Woollahra (3,47 %), Willoughby (3,40 %) ir Hunters Hill (3,28 %).<\/span><\/p>\nTa\u010diau 2025 m. rugs\u0117jo pabaigoje Sidn\u0117jaus miestas pakilo \u012f vir\u0161\u0173 nuo 8<\/span>th<\/span> vieta \u012f pirm\u0105 viet\u0105, o 5,25 % vis\u0173 registruot\u0173 variklini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173, laikom\u0173 toje LGA, yra BEV. Ta\u010diau didel\u0117 dalis \u0161i\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 (61 %) yra vyriausyb\u0117s ir komercin\u0117s transporto priemon\u0117s, tod\u0117l atrodo, kad Sidn\u0117jaus miestas yra ypatingas atvejis.<\/span><\/p>\nDabar yra du \u201egyvenamieji\u201c LGA, kuri\u0173 BEV skverbtis yra daugiau nei 5 % arba daugiau nei 1 i\u0161 20 transporto priemoni\u0173 yra su akumuliatoriumi. Tai Ku-Ring-Gai (5,15 %) ir Willoughby (5,02 %). Tarp penki\u0173 geriausi\u0173 LGA yra Mosman (4,75 %) ir Woollahra (4,66 %). Ir tai lemia ne verslo registracija \u2013 75 % BEV registracij\u0173 \u0161iose keturiose LGA yra privat\u016bs. Tai labai nesiskiria nuo bendro NSW motorini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 parko, kuriame 81 % vis\u0173 motorini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173 registracij\u0173 yra priva\u010dios.<\/span><\/p>\n\u201eByron\u201c i\u0161lieka pirmaujanti regionin\u0117 LGA NSW su 1,94 % BEV skverbties.<\/span><\/p>\nLentel\u0117s apa\u010dioje LGA skai\u010dius NSW, kuriose n\u0117ra registruot\u0173 BEV, suma\u017e\u0117jo nuo 24 pernai iki 20 \u0161iandien. Coolamon, Lachlan, Narrandera ir Weddin LGA pasveikino savo pirmuosius BEV.<\/span><\/p>\nNSW BEV medinis \u0161auk\u0161tas lieka nepakit\u0119s. 2025 m. rugs\u0117jo pabaigoje Moree Plains LGA buvo registruota 10 590 motorini\u0173 transporto priemoni\u0173, ta\u010diau n\u0117 viena i\u0161 j\u0173 nebuvo varoma elektra.<\/span><\/p>\n1: Remiantis Infrastrukt\u016bros ir transporto tyrim\u0173 ekonomikos biuro (BITRE) duomenimis, NSW sudaro 31,3 % nacionalinio BEV laivyno. Ekstrapoliuojant NSW etap\u0105, dabar \u0161alyje yra 320 000 BEV.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
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